Franklin, J., Regan, H. M., Syphard, A. D., 2021. A framework linking biogeography and species traits to plant species vulnerability under global change in Mediterranean-type Ecosystems, Frontiers of Biogeography 13.4, e51254 DOI: 10.21425/F5FBG51254 https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5qf5p307
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Plant species traits and biogeography play a role species’ exposure and vulnerability to decline under global change. We focusing on separate and combined impacts of climate change, land-use change, and altered fire regimes. We identify the spatial characteristics of species ranges, as well as the functional traits, that are associated with risk for plant species with functional attributes emblematic of fire-prone, Mediterranean-type ecosystems (MTEs). We focus on the California Floristic Province (CFP), an MTE that is a global plant diversity hotspot, and show how our framework can be used to understand the relationships between vulnerability to global change drivers, species traits, and biogeography. Vulnerability can be assessed using linked distribution and population models that forecast species responses to global change scenarios.